Forecasting Ground-level Ozone in Atlanta, Georgia |
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Project Description Development and operational support is provided to the Georgia Environmental Protection Division, Air Protection Branch to forecast next day peak air pollutant concentrations in support of the educational, outreach, and pollution reduction initiatives of the Clean Air Campaign. 
Since 1995 numerous objective
and subjective air quality forecasting models have been developed including the Urban Airshed Model in Forecast
Mode (UAM-FM), several statistical regression models, the Nearest Neighbor Model, and a Classification And
Regression Tree (CART) model. During the ground-level ozone season (May 1 to September 30), these models are
executed daily and their output is provided to the members of the Atlanta Ozone Forecasting Team in support of
their daily forecasting activities. These models are continuously revised and upgraded. Further, development of the
forecaster's web-based communication, data gathering, and archiving tools is provided and maintained, and
evaluation of individual and group forecasting performance is performed. Finally, Georgia Tech researchers
participate, along with forecasters from the Georgia Air Protection Branch, in the daily forecasting of air quality
during the smog season.Publications Chang, M.E. and C. Cardelino, "Application of the Urban Airshed Model to Forecasting Next-Day Peak Ozone Concentrations in Atlanta, Georgia," J. of the Air & Waste Mgt. Assoc. vol. 50, p. 2010-2024, 2000. Cardelino, C., M. Chang, J. St. John, B. Murphey, J. Cordle, R. Ballagas, L. Patterson, K. Powell, J. Stogner, S. Zimmer-Dauphinee, "Ozone Predictions in Atlanta, Georiga: Analysis of the 1999 Ozone Season,"J. of the Air & Waste Mgt. Assoc. vol. 51, p. 1227-1236, 2001. |
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